Climate Models, Calibration, and Confirmation
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Climate Models, Calibration and Confirmation
We argue that concerns about double-counting—using the same evidence both to calibrate or tune climate models and also to confirm or verify that the models are adequate—deserve more careful scrutiny in climate modelling circles. It is widely held that double-counting is bad and that separate data must be used for calibration and confirmation. We show that this is far from obviously true, and th...
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Recent philosophical attention to climate models has highlighted their weaknesses and uncertainties. Here I address the ways that models gain support through observational data. I review examples of model fit, variety of evidence, and independent support for aspects of the models, contrasting my analysis with that of other philosophers. I also investigate model robustness, which often emerges w...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0007-0882,1464-3537
DOI: 10.1093/bjps/axs036